Richard Fernandez reviews Russell Shorto's article on declining birthrates in Europe and sees mobs of dusky brown people (who like to fuck for valuable prizes instead of fun) overrunning the nicer neighborhoods:
But if that’s not possible, there’s a fourth way near and dear to radical environmentalism’s heart, such as it is. That is to encourage the Enlightened to traipse into that good night and groove on the return of the jungle. Shorto seemed creeped out by a gentleman that he met.
… the bearish middle-aged man beside me was full of enthusiasm. He waved an arm expansively, indicating a distant tree line. “From here you see that the city is embedded in a protected nature area,” he said through an interpreter. “We will bring that into the city.” Listening to Karl Gröger, director of the city’s department of building, is disorienting; where local politicians are supposed to cheer development, he was standing in the midst of his city’s industrial infrastructure and saying, in effect, “Someday all of this will be wilderness.”
But Shorto, to his everlasting credit, doesn’t think the National Geographication of Europe is a serious solution. Despite efforts to prettify the population decline there’s no escaping the hard fact that a society shutting itself down will at some (sic) collapse. Slowly at first and then rapidly as huge cohorts age and dodder around incontinently. Short writes:
I put this to Carl Haub of the Population Reference Bureau, who monitors global fertility on a daily basis from his perch in Washington. Is it possible that these are basically “good problems,” that Europeans, having trimmed their birthrates, are actually on the right path? That all they have to do is adjust their economies, find creative ways to shrink their cities, get more young and old people into jobs, so that they can keep their pension and health-care systems functioning?
Haub wasn’t buying it. “Maybe tinkering with the retirement age and making other economic adjustments is good,” he said. “But you can’t go on forever with a total fertility rate of 1.2. If you compare the size of the 0-to-4 and 29-to-34 age groups in Spain and Italy right now, you see the younger is almost half the size of the older. You can’t keep going with a completely upside-down age distribution, with the pyramid standing on its point. You can’t have a country where everybody lives in a nursing home.”
Of course things would never reach that point. Long before the nursing home phase old and defenseless societies would be systematically looted and taken over by high birthrate outsiders who will have grasped the unattended levers of power. This the way the world ends. Not with a whimper, but with a suffocated scream.
So, I guess, we should be on the lookout for pillow-packing Muslims roaming nursery home hallways looking to snuff out Uncle Saul.
I agree with Gröger that there is something special about a city and it's industrial areas returning to wilderness; I think we all would embrace a return to nature. Most people I know tend to enjoy grass and trees as opposed to industrial parks and parking structures, and the idea of fewer people and more nature does have its appeal. I'm sure people like Hernandez would also enjoy a bit more breathing room (as well as better air to breathe); they just want to make sure that the New Future World is occupied by the right kind of people who come equipped with the right resumes and presumably an acceptable (Christian) faith system. So, whereas you and I might envision a New Eden, they tend to see it more along the lines of a restricted country club where the darkies are few and far between and they're only allowed because someone has to carry the bags and keep the greens rolled.
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I have faith in my fellow humans. Some of them will always have babies for whatever reason, and some of them will always not have babies for whatever reason. A lot of the rest of them are looking at a world that bears no small resemblance to a walrus breeding colony, wall to wall bodies with pups frequently crushed to death by adults in a hurry to stake a territory or have sex as the ice floes shrink and the food gets harder to find, and thinking they don’t want that for their kids. Once there’s some room, some equilibrium, some time, once they see the world’s an okay place and their families don’t always get smashed into the ground, they’ll start in again with the babies until we’re right back on that beach, but that’s how humans are.
dsidhe, for a moment there I thought you were describing spring break in Florida…
“Long before the nursing home phase old and defenseless societies would be systematically looted and taken over by high birthrate outsiders who will have grasped the unattended levers of power. ” Yeah, like all those superwealthy folks from the countries with oil. Didn’t they already buy Great Britain?
Amazing the similarity to the fall of the Roman Empire. It was the hordes of slobs from Northern Europe, and other Europes that ruined the Empire. They wanted vinyards and slaves and warm weather too.
Of course the only thing that changed was the gene pool. It was different, but not really.
I have a small collection of ephemera that laments the Greek, Irish, Dago, Kraut problems in any given time here. We hate change…until its done.
Slowly at first and then rapidly as huge cohorts age and dodder around incontinently.
“Incontinently”?
I’m tell’n ya, this McCain fellow is giving older folks a bad name.
Apropos barbarians… am I the only one about ready to throw a Cheney grade fit over those ridiculous new cut ads that pop up when you click on the “read more” links?
Srsly, Tbogg, if you need money to feed the hamsters/bassets running the site, then ask and you shall receive. I’ll gladly pay quite an exorbitant amount per month or year to roam these pastures if paying up means I avoid being spoon fed some lame in-your-face sales pitch every time I want to actually read your ‘effin blog.
And yes, I know you’re probably at the mercy of Jane in these matters, so at your next “let’s rule the world” meeting in the secret firedoglake cave do please let her know that the natives are getting restless over here.
I have faith in humanity’s ability to fuck things up, which is the one and only true constant in human history. On my best days, I’m somewhat able to rise above the despondency which comes with this knowledge. To paraphrase John Perry Barlow:
I may be goin’ to hell in a bucket, babe, but I’m tryin’ to enjoy the ride…
(True but irrelevant trivia: I was at the first-ever public performance of that song - U.C. Berkeley Greek Theatre, May 1983. God, I miss those days…)
…societies would be systematically looted and taken over by high birthrate outsiders who will have grasped the unattended levers of power.
I think it’s the high birth rate insiders we have to really worry about, especially since they already own the levers of power and have the systematic looting almost done by now.
The one true neocon I deigned to talk to was always telling me he was looking for a “fertile, intelligent, gorgeous woman”. Yes, that’s a quote; fertile was his primary criteria, and all because of his paranoid perception yhat his fellow “intelligencia” were not procreating fast enough. Why any good looking woman would have looked twice at this sweaty little rotund toad is beyond me, hence his perpetual bachelorhood. Maintained with Mumsy’s generous funding of course.